Center for
Digital Technology
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Fighting Hunger in the Digital Era

Class: Spring 2016 Munich

Trend Report Cover Fighting Hunger in the Digital Era

Abstract

The supermarket – the modern land of milk and honey! Located just around the corner, it provides us with a magnificent selection of food and beverages: fresh fruits and vegetables from all over the world, meat and fish in abundance, coffee from Brazil, rice from Thailand, beef from Argentina – every product available 24/7. For most inhabitants of the industrialized world, purchasing and consuming food is easy and convenient. No dirty hands, only a few dirty dishes. Food consumption has become so easy and cheap that it is done on an excessive level: since 1980, the number of obesity cases has doubled globally and reached more than 1.4 billion adults in 2008 according to the World Health Organization Fact sheet No. 311 (2012). This report presents trends in the field of fighting hunger. From these findings, four scenarios are derived that vividly depict possible futures. In the final part, five business ideas are elaborated and validated in each of the four scenarios.

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Trends

Technology Trends

  • Power for Development
  • Bridging the Global Digital Divide
  • Cutting Through Complexity
  • Computing Power on Demand
  • Printing Progress - Layer by Layer

Societal & Environmental Trends

  • Burgeoning Environmental Crises
  • The Changing Face of Hunger
  • The Growth Explosion
  • Recently Displaced Populations
  • Education and Women‘s Empowerment

Legal & Political Trends

  • International Engagement: Africa and Middle East
  • Financial Rethinking
  • Towards Agricultural Trade Openness
  • Agricultural Policy Supports Industrial Farming
  • Biofuels Take New Direction
  • Increasing Fight Against Corruption
  • Social Safety Net Programs

Economic Trends

  • Widening Trade Deficit
  • Food Price Volatility
  • Ongoing Consolidation in Food Industry
  • Rise in Agricultural Productivity
  • Innovation in the Financial Sector
  • Growth of Entrepreneurial Ecosystems

Business Models Trends

  • Sharing Economy
  • Value Chain Inclusion
  • Cooperatives
  • Financial Inclusion
  • ICT for Micro-Entrepreneurs

Drivers

"Global Governance": Global governance refers to the act of collaboration between and across nations worldwide. A close international collaboration provides the political backbone to ensure food security and reduce hunger. It has direct impacts on food, such as trade facilitation, food standardization, and regulation. The indirect impacts foster global initiatives on environmental protections, counter global warming, and others. The current standing of the United Nations as well as other major international authorities are the starting points of this driver. The UN itself had to cope with several voices of criticism in the past, namely “inaction, inefficiency and indolence” (Arias, 1999), which are mainly caused by the lack of collaboration and enforcement power among member states.

"Genetically Modified Food": According to the Encyclopædia Britannica, a genetically modified organism (GMO) is an “organism whose genome has been engineered in the laboratory” (Fridovich-Keil, 2015). Such organisms may contain physiological traits which make the food production more efficient and reliable. Additionally, GMOs can be used to produce biological products like biofuel (Sjøgren 2014), insulin (Walsh, 2015) and painkillers (Hoffman, 2015). In the following scenarios, we solely consider genetical modifications within food production. The first edible GMOs were tomatoes, created by scientists in 1994 (Bruening & Lyons, 2000). In 2010, 10% of the worldwide cropland was cultivated with genetically modified crops (James, 2011). Such plants can resist diseases and insects while having better nutritional value (Lobardo, 2015). On the other side, they are suspected to degrade soil and cause allergies.

Scenarios

Separates New World,
Greenhouse of Nations, 
Powder to the People, 
World Food Network

Exploration

1. BLISS: Commodity Monitoring Solution for WFP‘s Downstream Chain Using Blockchain Technology

2. TRUESTORIES: Give people a smartphone. They will tell their stories.

3. TOOBER: Accelerate growth through sharing.

4. FAIRCAST: future. predicted. together.

5. CROPSPOT: Mobile solution automating crop disease identification through image recognition & machine learning.

Partners

To identify, nurture and scale-up bold solutions to challenges in humanitarian and development contexts, WFP’s Innovation Accelerator supports internal innovations and external entrepreneurs across all WFP operations. Based in Munich, the Accelerator provides funding for innovations and start-ups, brings in hands-on innovation expertise, and links teams with experts from across the non-profit and private sectors as well as academia to develop high-impact innovations for a world without hunger. WFP’s Innovation Accelerator is a creative, collaborative, and fast-paced environment that invites the private sector, civil society, and WFP entrepreneurs to tackle humanitarian and development challenges together. It uses cutting-edge techniques and human-centered design to improve project sustainability and keep beneficiaries’ needs in mind.
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